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Brazil Is a Fearless Country. And That's Its Weakness. PDF Print E-mail
Written by Cristovam Buarque   
Wednesday, 26 April 2006

Morumbi Favela spreaded around the rich Morumbi neiborhood in São Paulo, BrazilLast week during a flight between Paris and Baku, Azerbaijan, I had the opportunity for a long conversation with the French sociologist Alain Tourraine. After reminiscing about his time as a student in Paris, his meeting the great thinkers of France, his friendship with former Brazilian President Fernando Henrique Cardoso and speaking of his vision of today's Latin America, Tourraine developed a concept that he called "European Fear."

Fear is spreading across Europe. Fear of the ecological crisis, fear of the impossibility of maintaining the standard of consumption already attained, fear of the future awaiting the young people of today, fear of terrorism, fear of the immigrant invasion, fear of the advance of Islamic fundamentalism. In his vision, Europe is a fearful continent. Luckily. Because fear makes it conscious of the risks that it is running.

Brazil seems to be a fearless country. It does not fear the growth of criminality, which already dominates the streets of the large cities. Does not fear the effects of the burning of the Amazon rainforest.

Does not fear the inequality that is spreading, in spite of a miniscule reduction in what is referred to as the perversity of the income distribution. It does not fear our growing backwardness due to the lack of investments in science and technology. It also does not fear the risk of inflation returning.

And above all, it does not fear the lie of the official publicity, which transmits a false picture that we all want to believe. Despite our many reasons to be afraid, Brazil appears to be a fearless country. But the greatest of the fears resides in the lack of fear.

The lack of fear is proof of the lack of awareness. It is proof of the imprudence that dominates the Brazilian mindset. Only the person who is afraid and does not let him or herself be dominated by this fear is capable of avoiding the tragedy lurking in wait for us and of avoiding, above all, three threats.

The first threat is the inequality that impedes the country's social unification into one single nation, bringing together the two Brazils that are today so brutally separated.

The second threat is the fragility of the monetary and financial systems, which can, because of any carelessness whatsoever, bring back the inflation, thus making the inequality and poverty even worse. With inflation the salary of the poor melts away in their hands without even reaching their pockets, while the patrimony of the rich remains protected in the freezers of speculation.

The third threat is that, while promising to confront the first fear, we lower our guard for the second. And once again, while promising to save itself, achieve integration and independence, the country dives into fiscal and, as a consequence, social inequality. Or that, in the name of fiscal equilibrium, Brazil finds itself on the road to worsening its immense social deficit.

Europe lives with the fear of exhausting its model: it forced the process of globalization but it cannot globalize its benefits. It will be invaded. It created a network of the privileged with no way of sustaining them in the future. It will break from within.

Brazil does not live in fear because it has still not perceived that its model exhausted itself before it even carried its results to the entire population. The country did not perceive that the way out lies in inventing a new model without either remaining the way it is now or returning to its past illusions.

The future lies in achieving a social transformation with fiscal responsibility. Not fiscal responsibility without social commitment; not social commitment without fiscal responsibility. The two fears - the fear of social chaos and the fear of financial chaos -  must reach equilibrium.

In democracy, what is needed is a statesperson capable of combining those two fears someone who must not irresponsibly ignore them, whether through indifference or through incompetence.

Cristovam Buarque has a Ph.D. in economics. He is a PDT senator for the Federal District and was Governor of the Federal District (1995-98) and Minister of Education (2003-04). You can visit his homepage - www.cristovam.com.br - and write to him at This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it .

Translated from the Portuguese by Linda Jerome - This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it .

Comments (88)Add Comment
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written by Guest, 2006-04-26 13:10:35
Great article! I completely agree!
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-26 14:28:54
... and I completely disagree!

Brazil are a fearful nation. We are afraid of competition and that's why we have so much protection to our "industry". We're afraid of being explored and that's why we have so many workers "rights". We are afraid of not having money to pay for education and that's why we throw our schools to the hands of state. We are afraid of so many things that we throw our hopes and fears in the hands of the state, in the hands of politicians (including the hands of the author, a statesperson himself).
What brazilians have done, fearing to be excluded, was to grow an ominous superpowerful state. We let our education, our healthcare, our security and even our businesses to be in the hands of the statespersons. And now we have all those problems that we have now. The state does nothing for us, we don't know what to do about it, and we keep being threatened by other "citizens" as well.
And then come the politicians saying the problem is not their fault (the author means that all the time, even being very influential). Not only that, they wants us to be even more fearful in order to give them yet more power, just to continue fighting the wrong enemies who keep us alive. When will brazilians be convinced that politicians (like the author) are our true enemies and only make our life worse?

Edega
http://liberdadenet.blogspot.com
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-26 16:03:07
Fearless, oh please!

Brazilians are very fearful. The reason why there is no process in this country is because of fear.
The public schools in the rich bairro are under funded, overcrowded and low quality. The schools in the richer bairros are the opposite ( when in comparison to the schools in the poor bairros). This is because funding is based on income. People with higher incomes pay more taxes therefore they receive more funding. To some people this may seem fair. Ok, keep in mind that 3 out of 5 Brazilians live in these poor bairros. This is the majority. What happens when you have a society of uneducated people? ..humŅ
A logical politician would spread out the education funding, create a standardised educational curriculum and to alleviate the overcrowding bus students from other bairros to schools that are less crowded. Oh, but wait a minute! I do not want a poor potential drug dealer, robber, murder, etc studying with me or my children. I mean all poor people are criminals, right?

Besides, itŒs very difficult to get a good paying job in this country if your daddy is not a CEO. I do not what competition. .. I could go on and on but you get the pointŅ.
In response to \"Fearless, of please!\"
written by Guest, 2006-04-26 17:56:15
Knowing that Brazil has put in place certain protective barriers for its industries against forgein empires and competitors, I would agree with you Brazil is not "fearless." But I would suggest no nation on earth is "fearless."

In some ways Brazil is smart to attempt to protect its industries from absolute forgien take over. For if that happened all of Brazilian future and economic prosperity would be in the hands of forgieners. Anyways every nation on earth attempts to put in place its own protective barriers. Hell NAFTA was desgined to favor - thus protect and advance - the United States, Canada, and European investors.

Also keep in mind in the United States the secondary public education system is run by local tax dollars. Hence communities with lower tax bases in effect have poorer quality schools than wealthier communities. Local tax dollars funding public education is not unique to Brazil.
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-26 18:23:18
"Also keep in mind in the United States the secondary public education system is run by local tax dollars. Hence communities with lower tax bases in effect have poorer quality schools than wealthier communities. Local tax dollars funding public education is not unique to Brazil."

I guess you were assuming that I was using the US as an Example.

There are many other countries in the world other than the US. I feel America and Brazil are simular with thier capitalist approach to social issues.

Let look at countries like Canada, Switzerland, UK, Norway and Japan. These countries have a standerised education system, that issue that whether you are poor or rich that you receive the same quality of education. These countries have an educated population. Low umemployment rate (the US has a low unemployment rate but a majority of the people are underemployed.) low crime rate and in general were rated the best places to live. The US should not be used as a model by any country when it comes to education or health care. the key issue here, is that it is evident that this practice does not work. However, the politicians and we the people are unable to move. There is nothing wrong with Brazil having protectives barriers when it come to industry. A great example of what happens when you allow foreign industry to over saturate you market is Canada. Canada has lost it's identity. Canadian now are trying to regain this by offering grants for Canadians to open up businesses. Is this a bad thing, not on a financial stand point. Foreign industry has created millions of jobs in Canada. the only down fall is the lost of Canadian identity.

I would forgo my Brazilian identity for a better quality of life. To be able to walk down the street wearing my $150.00 dollar earring, so that my children would receive a better education, to alleviate poverty.

Sure another point we need to look at is, can Brazil really loss it's identity ( Business identity) to foreign markets?

With language bairriers and strong cultural influence, I do not believe so.
NAFTA is a joke. We should not even mention NAFTA. Now the Europen Union is a stronger Union. I do not think any UK business have suffered as a result of the EC. If anything it hads made Eurpoe a stronger power house.

The word is not "fearless" it close minded.
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-26 18:40:47
'The word is not "fearless" it close minded'

Fair enough. I understand you better now. Sorry for the misunderstanding.
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written by Guest, 2006-04-26 19:59:54
it is too simple to assume that if you open your countries industry to foreign competition you will improve living standards. In fact Latin America has been following this exact reforms since the 1980s with very bad results. In fact, a most countries around the world developed with the state contributing to internal economic development. Look at South Korea, Japan, Germany, France and UK to an extent. The difference is that the other states improved their respective economies by stimulating internal domestic investment by having high savings rates, small deficits, low interest rates, mild (but controlled) inflation, and eventually the government open strategic markets to foreign competition but they did this by liberalizing slowly unlike most Latin American countries throughout the 1990s.
Also, there are structural barriers to further development. If Brazil thinks that economic growth will resolve its economic problems it only needs to look at Peru. Its economy has been growing at rates avg. 5% yet the president is very unpopular, and people do not feel the benefit of such growth although poverty over the last 5 years has fallen by only 3%! They are in a strong fiscal situation than Brazil but Brazil does need to protect some of industry, especially those labor intensive industries which is the place to mass produce jobs and slowly if the government can invest heavily in basic education through FUNDEB the productivity will grow and so will economic growth!
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written by Guest, 2006-04-27 02:57:26
I have been listening to the kind of rethoric from the above poster for at least 20 years now... and that's what Brazil has been doing since at least the military government.
Besides, when Collor opened the economy, and that lasted until the end of first Fernando Henrique Cardoso's mandate, we had the best results. The industry got modern, many of our companies became international and we had a huge boost on competitivity. Then came the dollar overvaluation of our currency and they started to close the economy again.
The result is that most of our cars date back to that period and, of course, are getting very old. We reached an internal market of more than 2 million per year in 1997 and now the market barely reaches 1 million, not to mention that cars were bigger and better by that time.
This is all protective rethorics that doesn't work in the real world. What really matters for people is freedom. They must have a free environment where they choose where they will spend their money, and the state just protects their properties. They must only have good commercial contacts and do what they are best into. People get adapted more quickly than many interventionist economists admit. See eastern europeans economies, where there was no market prior to dismantling of communism.
All of the measures should be taken at once, otherwise you'll have unbalance and will benefit a group at the cost of another. It doesn't work if you liberalize worker's contracts and do not make it easier for companies to come into the market; it doens't work if you liberalize imports and keep high interest rates (reduced freedom) for internal companies; it doesn't work fully if you liberalize the internal market while prohibiting the imports.

As for some posts above, about the fears, yes, I agree, every people in the world are fearful in some degree. And keep in mind that politicians will always try to increase those fears while trying to get more power out of them. The more fearful the people are, the more likely they will believe, vote and give power to the politicians who say they will protect them. There are slight differences among people in the world today, but americans tend to be the fearless ones,while brazilians are among the most fearful. In the middle, we can find europeans, imho.
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 05:03:38
"And keep in mind that politicians will always try to increase those fears while trying to get more power out of them."


I agree with that statement, and that is exactly what the U.S. gov't. has done since 9-11, play on the fears of terrorism so americans will willfully give up their constitional rights, as has been done via the patriot act.
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 05:08:29
That's what politicians always do. And I see this as a threat to the United States, for what made the United States win the Cold War, and what made you so powerful and rich is the freedom and internal organization that you have there. Lose that, and you are doomed.
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 05:26:22
"I agree with that statement, and that is exactly what the U.S. gov't. has done since 9-11, play on the fears of terrorism so americans will willfully give up their constitional rights, as has been done via the patriot act."

YAWN. Who f**king cares!
O Meu Brasil Brasileiro...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 05:27:01
Us Brasilians should fear and be ashamed of the implicit political corruption in our country. Everything else...it will woek itself out!

Beyond that, just to "fear fear itself" (FDR).

keol
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written by Guest, 2006-04-27 05:55:00
Fist I would like to applause Doctor Cristovam Buarque's deviousness for passing the whole "fearless" maieutic as Doctor Alain Tourraine's own opnion or merely complementary to it. The europeans fear what we should all fear, yet we intend walk up to the abyss's ledge, and perhaps see if it stares back at us, who knows. If the system proves itself unviable to the europeans, what chances are there for Brazil or the United States, with a overly undereducated population, and huge democratic states up for pulls and grabs where nothing is ever done?


Interesting, my mistake, Doctor Alain Tourraine doesn have an opnion, it's merely a european social phenomenon, as "fearless" would be Brazil's. If we're fearless or not fearing, it would just mean we're not sophicated enough to have a nation neurosis or at least not one affecting the majority of the population. As Goethe puts it, "man of science care not for things of man", the french doctor loves the phenomenon, looking at it inside a disecting jar, much like denying global warming, you either do it, or you don't. Well, I really believe Brazil needed that communist regime when the time came, if not for anything else just for lifting us from this orgiastic feudal mode we find ourselves in. Of course you may argue that's the whole charm of the retched place, who knows. Maybe Doctor Buarque should write an American dream manifesto or at least select such book for mass printing and distribution, the American Ideal cannot be attained without a solid foundation of the American Dream.

P.S.
I'm a man of science myself. smilies/smiley.gif
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 06:54:03
why would those in power in brazil want the american dream?? They've already found it so rewarding keeping the masses ignorant and blatently stealing public monies with impunity why would they ever want to actually work for a living and be held accountable for their crimes?
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written by Guest, 2006-04-27 07:00:01
> P.S.
> I'm a man of science myself. smilies/smiley.gif

Perhaps that's why I had to read your text 4 times and didn't get to figure out what you mean. Are you pro or against communism?

Well, if I had only two choices, between communism and the crappy feudal system that Brazil has today (on that we agree), I prefer the latter. At least I can choose what to watch on TV and what to eat in my breakfast.
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 08:28:41
Do you actually have any experience with a Communist regime or are you as ignorant as I? Why was it necessary to destroy it, why was it a menace? If you consider 19th century Russian literature and most of what you hear about pre-mao china, do you seriously believe those countries would have been better off with capitalism? What are your opnions on the "european fear"? Well, as for being or not a commie, who knows nowadays, the amount of energy required to shake Brazil's neofeudalism can't be attain by ordinary means.
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 08:53:22
Have you ever talked to someone who experienced communism? I have had businesses with people in Eastern Europe and in the United States. I had contact with czechs, cubans and polish people.You should just sit up and hear their stories about communism/socialism and stop saying bulls**t. If you don't know any of them, the Internet is out there, it's easy to talk to them, just a matter of searching an appropriate chat room on IRC or somewhere else. Communism is like the Holocaust, you don't need to have ever lived it to know the absurd that was. Again, just sit up and hear their stories. There are plenty of them, just visit websites like therealcuba.com.

And not only that, didn't you notice that communism has not worked anywhere in the world, led most of the countries that adopted it to civil war and that the countries who still insist in that bulls**t are among the poorer in the world?

And why don't you start practicing communism yourself? Why don't you donate your money to the poor and give food and housing for them inside your house? I've never seen any communist doing that, just what they do is to use other people's resources for doing that via government. Their money is their money.

The brazilians already have few choices and too little freedom and to solve their problems you want them to be slaves? C'mon!
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 09:28:21
The problem with politicians is that they always want us to fear something, even when there is nothing to fear. And then, when we face a real threat, like the Islam terrorism, they exaggerate and want us to take inaproppriate measures. All they want is power, nothing else. As long as people are fearful and giving them power for any reason, everything can be falling around them and it'll be all ok.
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written by Guest, 2006-04-27 11:00:12
You haven't answered any of my questions. Think how our plight will seem pointless, and irracional when our decents start consuming 1/5 or less of what we consume nowadays with an unsufferable weather, perhaps a few radioactive spots here and there, tribal wars, who knows, all in the name of the orgiastic future? But hey, there's always corporate conscience and the chance global warming is merely a greenie conspiracy, and we will find new fossil deposits, and new copper mines, or convert all extra coil into hydrogen, etc, etc, etc... Maybe I'm lacking perspective, which population has a better present and which population has a better future, the Mexicans or the Cubans? Let's ignore Mexico's geografic capistalistic "advantage" for a second.
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written by Guest, 2006-04-27 11:16:14
"which population has a better present and which population has a better future, the Mexicans or the Cubans?"

Cubans have a better present. Mexicans have a better but extremely cloudy and uncertain future.
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 11:21:21
Of course cubans have a better present. They do not need to fear anything, for they've lost everything. They can't go any further down the ladder and their future is great when facing the poor present.

For those commies around here, being deep in s**t is a good situation!? LOL
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 12:21:06
The cubans have better education, better health, and less social inequality, which is what people say Brazil needs. If instead of a 20 years of military dictorship, we had 20 years of communist regime, Brazil would be in better shape, it isn't like we have much else to show for. I'm really sorry for being a epicurian commie and for trying to smear your over joly stoic capitalistic mode of living, and I'm sure you would care even while being part of such marvelous economic system. But wait, then there wouldn't be anything to care, would it, and within 10 years Brazil's youth would have higher education, and and, ok, scratch that, 20 year, no, 40 years, let's be realistic, 80, ok then, 160 years, suposing it doesn't collapse of course. Bleh, I would tell you to get a clue, but then, communism is heavily intertwined with the intelectual elite, so I'll just tell you to go, and be happy, your time is now, get a shrink, buy some prozac, get yourself a hooker, viagra and a corvette, everything under the sky is for sale, after all, you never know when the commie might return.
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 13:18:04
hey hey hey... first of all, let's keep things well explained. Brazil, instead of what is used to be said here, is not a capitalist country. That's the first thing you have to understand. The neofeudal system is a good description, but I would say it's more like a colbertism or state capitalism as you prefer. A place where commercial disputes are decided in the courts can be anything but capitalist.

And again, about the cuban system, why don't you simply buy an airplane ticket and go there to see with your own eyes the great heavens that Fidel Castro has created for his citizens? If you're lucky, you'll get to talk to someone and they will tell you what they think. On one thing at least we agree: they don't have as much inequality as in Brazil and US. They are all miserable, their refrigerators are empty and their houses are in ruins. They are much poorer than the poor americans and they are even poorer than the poor brazilians. Why don't you move to Cuba? I'm sure they will accept you, one more slave is always welcome. In addition, their education is far outdated and doesn't serve the purposes of the modern world and their excellent healthcare system is only for foreigners. And even so, if the healthcare system is so good, why did Castro go to France to get his treatment when he slipped and fell against some chairs? That was just a fall and some few broken bones, nothing really complicate for an astounding healthcare system.

And well, I really prefer to drive the Corvette. I let the Ladas, the Trabants, and the old 50ies cars for the likes of you. This is a wonderful world, if you want crap you can choose crap. Be happy.
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 13:53:36
If things are good and the future sounds viable and promising, what do you care about articles like this one?
I'm sure you know there's no profit in education, or ending poverty, or reducing polution, if the priority are right, well, it is as it should be, don't you think?
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 14:24:12
... just correcting a mistyped information: I confused the treatment of Fidel Castro with the one of Arafat. Checking internet websites, it looks like Fidel Castro was really treated in Cuba. Anyway, the rest is the way as I put it. The excellent healthcare system of Cuba is just for foreigners, not for the local cubans.
From Switzerland !
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 15:35:30
Yes we are a wealthy country.
We have no oil, no car manufacturer, no agricultural exports but we import few, no land(small country with lots of mountains), no soft commodities, no iron ore, no corruption, no copper.
I learned recently that in Geneva, less than 50 % of the population has a Swiss passport.
So why are we wealthy and you poor ? Should it not be the opposite ? This is a simple demonstration that agriculture, basic metals, even oil has yet never ever made a country wealthy.
Japan is similar to Switzerland but they have large car manufacturers, contrary to us.
This demonstrates that what you produce is of low return on investments. Agriculture one of your largest exports
is loosing money despite your low cost land, labor etc etc.
But without long term investments you will remain non competitive because no investments is made in infrastructure, roads, highways.
Despite being an emerging country, Brazil had the worst of all economic growth. Despite being an oil producer and ethanol producer, by now self sufficient, your gasoline price is around 20 % cheaper than in my country, but our average income is several times yours, making your gasoline price quite high in comparison of your average income.
Your education system, as mentionned is awful, and almost inexistent, also due to the lack of commitment of your governments.
10 % of Brazilian workers pay income taxes. In my country 70 % of the population is paying income taxes.
Dont say because we are rich, because we were not rich for the reasons explained at the start of my comments.
We became rich, that is quite different. anmd we did so through education, basic,medium and high. Everyone can go to the university if he is capable.
Anyone can look by themselves, my country with a population of 7 million is exporting MORE than Brazil with a population of 190 millions. But we export only high value added goods. We have no textile industry but we manufacture the best
textile machinery in the world.And every country, Brazil included import these machinery for their own low cost labor. Strange ! Isnt it?
But if you enjoy producing cheap things with low value that is YOUR economic model and decision. Just imagine the quantity of Soya, cotton or iron ore, orange juice, you must produce to be able to buy only 1 of our ttextile machinery. this machinery doesnt provide so many job for you, as it is done to reduce the number of jobs...by definition.Worse by having this machinery, this allows your employers to have less employees but with a lower income.
This is just one example within many.

In my view you always had and still have a bad economic model.
South Korea was poorer than Brazil 40 years ago. Now they are booming with their technology exports. But to produce technology one must have educated workers. It happens that 80 % of South Korean students go to university and only 10 % of Brazilians.And Brazil stayed in their basci industries of agriculture, wood, grains, iron ore, cotton.-
Look at the cotton industry.
You export cotton bales to China and they can beat you on the textile prices in your own country. Isnt that funny ?
Isnt it not strange that you proclaim yourself of being the world's garden but still have hunger and under noiurrsished people by the millions and millions simply because you prefer to export....at a loss ?
Where is the common sense ? Can anyone explain ? It is like in a farmer family, where the man prefer to care for his mistress rather than feed his wife and children !
And Brazil does just that for the benefit of a few. that is why you have one of the highest wealth inequality in the world. 70 % for the 5 % of your elite, 5 % for the corrupted politicians (their due !!!) and 25 % for the parked population in favelas or Northeast.

So why do you continue to elect the same type of politicians. Why dont you do street demonstrations by the millions and millions in every large city ? Last year the only demonstrations against yopur corruption was 2 or 3 times 10'000 people who demonstrated in Brasilia.
Yes 10'000 in a population of 190 millions.
Why do you expect then that corruption will stop. your politicians know you disagree but that you will do do nothing.
Lula has betrayed all his electors, his promises remained promises, and you will probably re-elect him !
Who can really help you except yourself ?
No one !
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 16:08:42
The last poster is right . . . Brazil, like America, gets exactly what it deserves by electing a complete f**kING IDIOT as president. The funny thing is you will re-elect that a*****e and he will keep on leaving promises unfulfilled and buying votes from senators, etc.

WAKE UP BRAZIL. Lula is a dead-end!!! You are the greatest hope for South America in my mind. With 190 million people you can move mountains but you're too busy trying to become another America - full of f**king stupid, vacuous consumers rushing from mall to mall with women whose only preoccupation is with the size of their tits and the fullnesss of their bundas. Men who seem to be interested in little more than those same tits and asses and football. You do all seem to get together each night to watch trashy novelas though . . . Just like America!! God bless you!! You bitch and moan and complain constantly but you will re-elect a complete idiot who lied to you on every occasion and accomplished almost nothing in 4 years. You will grow slower than most countries in the world because the rich are stealing from you, keeping you illiterate and ignorant and laughing in your face while doing it. You have the greatest wealth disparity in the world. Time to do something but sadly I doubt you will.
In response to \"From Switzerland\"
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 16:26:08
Switzerland also has a population of 7,523,934. That is magnificently smaller than the titan Brazilian population. Also, of signficance I believe, is the beneficial impact Switzerland has had in sheltering the money of global orginized crime. The city of Miami in the US state of Florida, in similar ways, has its banking system - and Miami economy consequently - tied into orginized crime money (cocaine).

The french historian Fernand Braudel in his first volume of his three volume work on capitalism in the 15th and 16th century pointed out that for any nation to be powerful (as in empire terms) it must have a large population of people to draw from and to not only fill its ranks in the military machine but also to drive its engines of economy.

Before you speak condescending of Brazil, lets realize and keep this in proportion, that Switzerland has ceded its physical protection to the mighty arms of the US and to the collective watch of European members of NATO. There is no way in hell the Swiss could patrol the Amazon region, police the Brazilian boarders and the narco-terrorists, nor be a stabalizing presence and factor in Latin America. When Peru had hostages taken, under the Presidential watch of Fujmori (sp?). It was special forces members dispatched as advisors to Peru from the United States and *Brazil.* Not Switzerland. The Swiss today, concerning martial warfare, are best dressed in regal garments at the Vatican gates.

Simple fact is Brazil has far more potential - as the US Central Intelligence Agency knows - to becoming a world power both economically and militarily than does Switzerland.

However that is not to say Brazil can't learn from Switzerland regarding her models of education and efficient government.
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 17:21:38
I think it relates to having a small population, look at Finland, Sweden, the one mentioned, Canada, even Chile is getting ahead. Now look at Brazil, India, China, Russia, Mexico, Argentina, USA, and even
France and England. While in Switzerland you have mostely deary farms, here in Brazil we have deary, meat, leather, bone, soap(animal fat), each is trying to screw each other. Look at the power struggle between the North and the South states in USA, you really think anything be actually be done? Is there anything other than tax evasion in those states with potential to improve above the others?
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 18:26:42
difficult to make comparisons with small countries in north europe to large countries, and especially developing ones. No question things can be learned from their models, but applying those models to populations 30-50 times greater and land masses that equate the entire continent where they reside is difficult at least.

Also noteworthy that most of northern european countries spend little to nothing on defense, as the U.S. and U.K. pretty much handle that for them.

The state of California could form it's own country and be the fifth largest economy on the planet. Also many of these smaller, "rich" countries have populations around the size of Houston Texas.
Switzerland population has .....
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 18:27:19
a population of 7 million but exports more than Brazil with a population of 190 millions. Yess we are small...or not so small compared to Brazil
You have land, oil, workers, agriculture, cattles, iron ore, car manufacturers, aircraft industry, textile industries, just to name a few.
Therefore you are richer than us by all definitions.

And using the STUPID AND PERPETUAL EXCUSE OF YOUR FAILURE, I will just return you the question : Has Brazil a larger population than the USA ?
Then why is Brazil much poorer than the USA ?
You see that your comparison in population is contradictory.
Much worse even for your comparisons : Uruguay, Paraguay and some other S.A. countries, and aslo compared to similar population countries around the world than Switzerland. Then why are they much poorer than Switzerland...based on your stupid analysis ?
Simply because they have the same economic model and society as Brazil.

I am Swiss, born in Switzerland, from Swiss parents, relatively well educated.
I know the name of around 40 Presidents in different countries.
It happens and I xswear it is true, that I dont know the president name of.....Switzerland ! smile but true.
Who cares. He does his job, he doesnt go every day to inaugurate a new school here or there, a new small plant, 500 meters of new highway, make several daily speeches for reporters and then being published in all newspapers, and appearing regularly in a similar way as Lula with his : Coffee with the President.
My President (whatever his name is) has an office and he is effective, not representative trying to prepare the next election campaign for....3 years. My President has no authority on spending governement money.
And contrary to Brazil, a voted budget for roads and highways (as example) will be freed and spent but in Brazil a voted budget doesnt mean money will be freed. Strange isnt it ? I can give several examples if you like.

I am not saying with have the best political and economic model. It remains that it is not the worst...by far.
In the world there are many different political and economic models.
You can pick the best here and there !

But what have you done during the last 100 years ! You constantly have choosen the shortest view possible 1 to 3 years. Curiously just until the next election. And then who cares, the government changes anyway and leaves all the problems he created to the next president !
But here in my country, long term means.....20/30/40/50 years.

You are free to choose your economic and political model.And you harvest what was planted earlier : not much !
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 18:28:11
"Look at the power struggle between the North and the South states in USA, you really think anything be actually be done?"

Oh praytell what struggle would that be??
To the stupid writer who said :
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 18:44:40
it must have a large population of people to draw from and to not only fill its ranks in the military machine but also to drive its engines of economy.

Then why your large population has not accomplished what you said ?

As to banking, why dont you do the same ! Here we can borrow our mortgage at 3, 5 %.
Most probably many Brazilians have accounts here and there. Are they the one you refer as to organized crime and gang ?
Just review your own not so long history on that subject : from 1998 to 2002 100 billions Reais were money laundered illegally outside Brazil ! By all your political and industrial elite. It happens that there was a detailed report done in Brazil by a Brazilian.
It is curious that your lawmakers voted December 18, 2004, to not open an investigation on that subject.
It also happens that in the report, 91 Brazilians politicians were named !
Then hopefully you can guess why they decided not to open the Pandora box ?
If you dont trust me, just go back in this site, regular pages news, from June to December 2004, many articles were published.
How do you explain that your then finance minister and central bank saw nothingor said nothing. They see that much money flowing, when they can find out what a poor guy received 30'000 Reais recently !

They can trace 30'000 but not 100 billions ? Strange isnt ?

And finally dont you believe that billions of $ are money laundered in Brazil by Colombians Drug lords or mafias or organized crime ?
Is it better to get 1 % on your cash or 15 % and more at times ?????
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 19:07:01
For the person who posted :

Besides, when Collor opened the economy, and that lasted until the end of first Fernando Henrique Cardoso's mandate, we had the best results. The industry got modern, many of our companies became international and we had a huge boost on competitivity. Then came the dollar overvaluation of our currency and they started to close the economy again.
The result is that most of our cars date back to that period and, of course, are getting very old. We reached an internal market of more than 2 million per year in 1997 and now the market barely reaches 1 million, not to mention that cars were bigger and better by that time.
This is all protective rethorics that doesn't work in the real world. What really matters for people is freedom. They must have a free environment where they choose where they will spend their money, and the state just protects their properties. They must only have good commercial contacts and do what they are best into. People get adapted more quickly than many interventionist economists admit. See eastern europeans economies, where there was no market prior to dismantling of communism.
All of the measures should be taken at once


I think you have it all wrong. Collor did open the economy but Cardoso did more to liberalize Brazil than Collor ever did. Tariffs were slashed severely, they liberalized the capital accounts, and implemented the Real Plan. The initial surge in imports was due to higher real wages but this economic program was artifical. Look at the data, the foreign and internal debt exploded to record levels mostly because of the higher interest rates and flowed into Brazil and due to the inability of the country to export but the blame has to be due to the currency regulation scheme placing the real at about the level with the dollar. Your ascertion that the economy in 1995 became closed is just wrong, if anything the economy was the most open it had ever been! Look at imports!
This is insane for any economy. You talk about Brazil being interventionist economy? You have to prove what you are talking about. In what area did they interve? Yes, Brazil had large industry that were developed but to blame the government for creating is wrong. Most of the economies in the world at that time were using such methods to develop, some worked and some failed. Secondly, if you compare Brazil's protectism era compared to the 1990s "opening" period you see that you policies have failed. Look at worldwide growth rates, they were faster in 1960 to 1980s, look at per capita income! Yeah, you belive Brazil needs more individual choice and property rights and I cant disagree more but who will create such a system? The private sector will? The government does need to defend property right but the government will break patents just like they from 1860s until 1970s. Historically speaking Britain tried to block technology from transfering by demanding people obey their property rights. Countries steal such things to advance their economies, look at the Chinese!
And if you want to argue that the Asia in the 1990s is an example of benefits from free trade and open economic policies you must have things seriously mistaken.
China has never listened to the IMF! They block capital from entering their economies. They lower interest rates when they want to. They control their currency and have a positive economic policy that first liberalized their trade regime and only recently have they been slowly opening their economy.
Look at India, with their excessive bureucracy, once high budget deficits near 8% now 4%! Chile used capital controls in the 1990s and then removed them recently after signing a free trade agreement with the USA. Malaysia also used capital controls during the Asian crisis and they suffered less than all other countries.
Grab a book, and look at how Japan, South Korea, Germany, Mexico and Brazil all developed their economies! They all had government policies that promoted development (obviously some were better than others) and then each went off on their own path.
Look at what really created Brazil's enormous debt? Its not the Previdencia Social, although it was a contributing factor! It was mainly the high interest rates to maintain an artificial currency that contributed nothing to developing domestic industry or making them stronger! Look at the rise in taxes that killed the domestic industry and chocked off consumption!
You must think Brazil is a state managed economy but the results today is of a state who lacked a plan and a vision to develop the economy which is a lot different than the notion you used, "modernize" the economy! Mondernization has not improved the economy, Brazil needs a new model to develop its economy and compete internationallly!
In response: \"To the stupid writer who
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 19:52:55
I'm that "stupid writer." You make a mistake however, I'm a gringo born, raised, and residing in the United States of America. I am not Brazilian nor living there.

And yes the United States, as every major world empire or "superpower" in world history, has had a relatively large pool of people to draw from (relative to the average population sizes of its day and age and region).

You stated: "And using the STUPID AND PERPETUAL EXCUSE OF YOUR FAILURE, I will just return you the question : Has Brazil a larger population than the USA ?
Then why is Brazil much poorer than the USA ?
You see that your comparison in population is contradictory.
Much worse even for your comparisons : Uruguay, Paraguay and some other S.A. countries, and aslo compared to similar population countries around the world than Switzerland. Then why are they much poorer than Switzerland...based on your stupid analysis ?
Simply because they have the same economic model and society as Brazil."

Though you compare Brazil to the US - in reference to Swiss luxury, prosperity, and low crime - I can tell you for a fact it is not uncommon to have news shows in the US reporting on Switzerlands superior quality of life for its poor and middle class compared to that of the United States citizen in that same socio-economic branch. I mean your actual prisons are luxury resorts compared to *county jails* in any metropolitan US city, and that's just county jails. The actual US prison system is much more violent and authoritarian ruled (e.g. frequent anal cavity searches). Of course US prisons are luxury resorts compared to Brazilian prisons... but the point is you mentioned the United States (by point of of her quality of life and that of the Swiss against that of the Brazilian).

I have an uncle in back in prison again right now. A martial artist, and extremely violent man, weighing in at close to 300 pounds of muscle. His chest is so big it looks like a shelf. He's been stabed in the face by a Latino gang member while in prison and in numerous fights there including in one where he beat up a white supremacist who was even taller and physically bigger (in muscle and weight) than him.

Last time he was out he got to slap boxing with me to see where I was at in boxing and my pugilist craft. The scars on his body and the thick, large, keloids going across his chest can be awsome and intimidating. And as he tells it, in his younger days he once spared in the ring against a guy now that has become very well known and respected in the international K-1 events.

I've personally been shot at by Vice Lord gang members. Fought in a bar six Brothers of Struggle gang members with the help of only one friend. Had a few friends and a number of associates murdered. I know people that have murdered or murdered more than once. Quite a number of times I have almost driven into cross fire in gun shoot-outs between people. Hell I use to drive with a loaded 9mm pistol laying in my lap, with a round chambered.

Point is... the United States has a large population, has the largest economy in the world, and we still have more violence and brutality than the small and prosperous Swiss nation has. So why pick on Brazil when the nation does not even have the industry development per capita that either the US or Switzerland has?
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 19:55:08
Brazil was china in the 1960's and early 70s. Granted China has 5 times as many people as brazil so its overall gdp wil end up much larger but it will be interesting to see if china can maintain its growth without reforming its court system and stopping corruption. Which is actually quite prevelant. Now granted with a billion people it will probably still end up being the worlds largest economy, but how high will its per capita gdp get before hitting a wall?
to the 2 last writers....
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 21:45:05
to the first :
- it remains that 150 years ago the USA were not wealthier than Brazil.
- it remains that no country was rich at one point in time.
- it remains that some countries developed and some lagged. Some lagged until the mid 50's and 70 's and then developed.
- it remains that the US jails as terrible as they are, are still a 5 resort compared to
Brazilian jails, even if the Swiss jails are a 5 stars resort compared to the US jails.
- It remains that the poors in the USA should be compared to the low middle class in Brazil, and that the poors in Switzerland could be compared to the US poors ! Really, dont believe wealth is everywhere in my country
- It remains that Brazil is ranked as one of the most violent country on earth. Far more deaths crime in Brazil than in the USA despite having a smaller population.
- it remains that poor Brazilians dream of residing in the USA, but that no poor US ciitizen is dreaming of residing in Brazil.
- it remains I could continue for hours.

to the second (last reader) :
- you are wrong. We are not talking of overall GDP, you cannot compare the population of Brazil, China or Switzerland.
- we are talking of economic GROWTH IN PERCENT OVER A LONG PERIOD OF TIME. Until 20 years ago, China grew normally. foir the last 10 years they grow at 10 % per year, Brazil at less 3 % or so.
It means that China is reducing their gap with rich nations quite fast, even if they will need several more decades.
But it means that Brazil is not filling the gap with rich nations, and they are even loosing market share compared to the other developing nations as all of them grow faster than Brazil.
By simple maths and simple definition, if one is lagging someone he must grow faster to fill the gap. Correct ?
But that is not the case. You grew below the world growth rate since Lula has been elected, year after year. Every developing country had/has a growth of 5 to 10 % as average for the last 3 years.
Brazil numbers are :
0,5% in 2003, 5 % in 2004, 2.3 % in 2005, and 3.5 expected in 2006 but expectations has already been reduced, and could be reduced...again.
Make now your 4 years average and the number will be around 3.1 % ! Far Far Far below the others developing countries. Curiously it was your booming exports that made most of the growth. But that growth has nothing to do with Lula decisions, it was only due to external demand, not related to Lula...by definition ! But you can also realize that this means that Brazil economic internal growth was almost....NIL !
And No country can have a healthy internal growth while you must borrow at 40 to 150 % per year while your inflation was from 6/7 % to now 4,5 %.
You simply end up paying twice the price of what you buy in credit.
No consuming power at all !
And Brazil cannot perpetually say....yesss but....etc etc.!!!
Because the other developing countries had the same problems you had until 2003 ! Turkey had inflation of several hundreds percent until 2002.
Look at Argentina they went bust and since 2003 have an average of more than 8 % economic growth. Look at Peru, Chile. Just name them. they are simply progressing faster than you.

LULA FAILED MISERABLY LAMENTABLY.
He lied to you from day 1, His promises remained words not facts. He betrayed his electors.

A good definition of him is : he talks to the poors and works for the rich !
And it works because he was born poor too. He is a populist and poors like populism.
And to the Cuban writer !
written by Guest, 2006-04-27 21:54:34
Cuba didm ok until Russia stopped buying their sugar at a big premium price than the world market price. After that they collapsed.
What do they manufacture, what do they export, what do they produce. There is hunger there. they have tickets for food. The average earning is 4 or 5 times than in Brazil.
Most cubans are dreaming to flee the country. Never heard of the boat people ???????
If they were not stopped by US customs and patrol boats, you would have 10 times more people going away !
Talk to them....they disagree with your comments ! this is not a democracy. Similar to North Korea !
They are dreaming of residing in every country except their own country ! those who can escape, will escape or have already escaped !
Re: For the person who posted :
written by Guest, 2006-04-28 00:48:58
I am the person who posted. Well, you should read my writings carefully, I put it this way: "that lasted until the end of first Fernando Henrique Cardoso's mandate". This is not 1995, but 1998, extended to at least 2000. In this time, the parity between real and dollar, foolish I agree, was abandoned and import taxes began to be raised. And well, you better read our history again. What we didn't lack in Brazil were plans. We have had a number of them. Plano Real itself was a plan. Our government does plans and, as any government in the world, they simply don't work.

And you better to review the countries which you cited. Government controls were for small, very short periods of time, and even so I discuss if they have not worsened things. Politicians always feel tempted to put their hands into things at the minor signal of something going wrong. Germany was rebuilt using Hayek principles, as happened to Western Europe. Japan had success in the automobile industry when they have lowered their imports taxes to 0%, making the americans to put their taxes at this level as well. Yes, some countries had more success and others had less success, and the things that made them be successful was economical freedom. The more free a country, the most success it had. State plannes like to take those as examples, because it remains that almost every country in the world uses state planning someway but freedom is a constant in all successful models.Your talk of state planning has been heard around here for at least Getlio Vargas' government and that's exactly what Brazil has been doing since then, even in the most open periods like Collor government and the first term of Fernando Henrique Cardoso.

Last but not least, I never cited that private sector will guarantee property rights! That's a function of state. I don't know where you got this idea from. You are the seriously mistaken guy here and you better pay more attention to what you read.
From Cuba writer
written by Guest, 2006-04-28 04:45:57
So you mean to say Cuba is in no way better than the caribean s**thole it would be without communism? What would happen to Mexico if by some reason USA had to cut its loses and stopped pumping steroids into their economy? Why does USA try to keep countries from trading with Cuba, I'm sure it's not a question of ethics, unless ethics are dependent on oil. Which will happen first, hell freezing over or USA signing anything like the Kyoto agreement? What do you think of the so discused "european fear"? I'm sure burning whatever to procude energy is great, now try producing energy to purify the air you breath. What do you forsee for the future?

I know you're not as keen on answering question as commie bashing, but just try. Of course I heard of the boat people, but I also heard of Canadians imigrating to USA, so I think I lack a reference point. The only thing I head about Cubans in Brazil were some medical doctors in the north, Belem I think, having problems with the authorities, cashing out on average 5000 reais a month.
Re: From Cuba writer
written by Guest, 2006-04-28 05:15:18
You're right, Cuba is a great place and Fidel Castro is a great president. I really don't know why cubans are sneaking from the country in unsafe boats, hiding from cuban authorities, while the canadians cross the borders with the United States in their own cars. Perhaps they are mad.

And also, Fidel Castro is damn good! He created a superb economical system. The only problem is that he's enemy of the United States and he doesn't get to make his island prosper because he's in the hands of his enemy and his enemy does not help him. No matter if he gets oil from Venezuela or has europeans buying his products, the problem is that the United States does not help him. Damn americans! Don't they recognize the immense economical success of a system that depends on other countries' help?
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-28 05:16:35
It's funny, Fidel Castro hates americans but he wants to make business with them. How poethic!
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written by Guest, 2006-04-28 06:13:09
Wait and see, as soon as Fidel croaks, which could be any day now, Cuba will shortly after, within 20 years, become an american territory, and it will be the best thing that happened to them since Fidel gained control.
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written by Guest, 2006-04-28 06:46:40
You guys are awesome, but I'm not talking about USA trade partners or USA "help", but how the only South American trade partners with Cuba are probably only Venezuela and Brazil, and it always sounds like "oh yeah, they're really pissing USA off, they even trade with Cuba". I don't give a f**k about Fidel's regime, what I really wanted to talk about was enviromental fears, if greenie laws constrain profits, and your government is run by corporations, well, look out for Coal Suvs. It is impossible to get past the childish crap with Americans, what is there to do other than grab that stupid moral superiory as tight as you cling to your stupid economic superioty? In the year 1900, USA and the capistalist part of europe was fully industrialised, while Russia and China were nothing, a feudal fur exporter with the worst social inequality imaginable and regime based on the Dao, satured with slaves on the verge of collapse. Ignoring that without the Red Army, you would probably be speaking German by now, please tell me the wonders capitalism would have done for those 2 countries, and how easy it was for your superior system and superior breeding to defeat big red. What I want to know from you is, how do you see the future in 50-100 years, so don't start on the Stalin-Mao axis of evil.
In response t \"to the 2 last writers\"
written by Guest, 2006-04-28 08:02:36
This is the gringo again.

Mr Switzerland, my point of contrast between US violence, quality of life of its poor, in contrast to that of Switzerland was only to point out that *even though the US has a much larger economy than Switzerland it still produces more social ills than Switzerland - the same social ills you damn Brazil for.* So my question remains: why pick on Brazil whom has far more economical obstacles to negotiate than the United States, for her quality of life issues?

Anyways, regardless, get a clue. More US citizems are fascinated by the Brazilian, culture, women, and people... than they are by the Swiss. In fact dare I say most the world is more enamored by Brazilian culture than Swiss? Yes both Swiss and Brazil may have there good and bad cultural traits. But the Brazilians good cultural traits are no less worthy than the Swiss good cultural traits. -- I have a ball cap of "Brazil" decked in her national colors that I picked up in a Walmart in a small, rural, predominately white poor town. The forgein national caps they offered - per demand - were: Brazil; England; and Ireland.

Sorry... but no "Switzerland" cap. Maybe you Swiss don't have enough cowboy in you, enough "Soprano," "Godfather," or "New Jack City" in your culture to garner the respect and appreciation of the American gringos? I mean after all there's a reason Snoop Dog choose to shoot one of his film in Brazil and not Switzerland, right?

As for me those apple butt mulattas are just to much to die for, to kill for, to rise a nation up for, goddamit to expatriate for. Regardless of the nations poverty or gun violence.
...
written by Guest, 2006-04-28 08:04:42
Hahaha, looks like someone has opened his thumb and walked away from the graveyard here. Can you believe this guy is still defending communism!? Listen s**thead, I am as brazilian as you probably are, so don't come with this imperialistic mumbo jumbo on me. Second, follow the advices you received earlier and go to those good countries you defend before saying bulls**t.

And now, to your answers: Russia changed an agricultural economical basis for an industrial basis. They had a dictatorial government connected to the land owners and they had a much worse dictatorial regime directly belonging to bureaucrats. Russia was more like Cuba today, with few industries, before the Revolution and then had some industries. What would happen if socialism had not happened in Russia? Hard to say, but some 30 million people wouldn't have been killed.
As for China, didn't you notice that they are not playing the communist game anymore? Didn't you notice that they have companies, entepreneurs, malls, shopping centers, consumer market? For China, certainly Mao didn't do any good, for he has caused hunger and did not industrialize the country. That only happened under Deng Xiaoping.
How do I see my future? f**ked up if I stay in Brazil, even more f**ked up if our stupid president gets reelected and much better if I migrate to America, as long as americans keep crappy idiots like you away from their territory.
In respo